Housing data for Bull Run Mountain Estates, VA
Bull Run Mountain Estates, VA has an estimated 1,827 residents and 505 homes (US Census Bureau, 2020–2024 American Community Survey).
It is an unincorporated community in Prince William County.
0.0% of households rent.
Figures last updated on .
- Residents
- 1,827 (±1,129)
- Housing units
- 505 (±246)
- Households that rent
- 0.0%
- Residents since 2015–2019
- +39.0%
What stands out in Bull Run Mountain Estates
Homes heated by fuel oil: 37.8% (±26.8 points) in Bull Run Mountain Estates, higher than in Prince William County (1.5%).
Homes built before 1980: 59.5% (±31.3 points) in Bull Run Mountain Estates, higher than in Prince William County (24.1%).
Working from home: 44.3% (±15.9 points) in Bull Run Mountain Estates, higher than in Prince William County (19.1%).
Households that rent: 0.0% (±7.6 points) in Bull Run Mountain Estates, lower than in Prince William County (25.7%).
Housing in Bull Run Mountain Estates at a glance
- Renters and owners: 0.0% of households rent (Small sample: wide margin of error)
- Income and affordability: $250,000 or more median household income
- Home values: $623,800 median home value
- Homeowner costs: $2,808 median monthly cost with a mortgage
- Property taxes: $4,935 median real estate taxes a year (Small sample: wide margin of error)
- Types of homes: 0.0% of homes are in buildings of 5 or more units
- Bedrooms: 95.9% of homes have 3 or more bedrooms (Small sample: wide margin of error)
- Age of homes: 59.5% of homes were built before 1980 (Small sample: wide margin of error)
- Heating fuel: 39.2% heat with electricity (Small sample: wide margin of error)
- Commute and cars: 33.3 minutes average trip to work
- Growth: +39.0% residents since 2015–2019 (Small sample: wide margin of error)
- How long people stay: 12.7% moved in since 2020 (Small sample: wide margin of error)
- Crowding and facilities: 0.0% of homes have more than 1 person per room (Small sample: wide margin of error)
Bull Run Mountain Estates against Prince William County, its state and the nation
| Bull Run Mountain Estates | Prince William County | Virginia | United States | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Residents | 1,827 (±1,129) | 488,880 (exact) | 8,705,170 (exact) | 334,922,499 |
| Housing units | 505 (±246) | 161,852 (±127) | 3,684,756 (±486) | 143,775,355 |
| Households that rent | 0.0% (±7.6 points) | 25.7% (±0.9 points) | 32.7% (±0.3 points) | 34.8% |
| Median gross rent | — | $2,067 (±$34) | $1,579 (±$8) | $1,413 |
| Median household income | $250,000 or more | $131,402 (±$2,625) | $93,170 (±$458) | $80,734 |
| Median home value | $623,800 (±$20,036) | $530,100 (±$6,833) | $383,700 (±$1,024) | $332,700 |
| Median real estate taxes (a year) | $4,935 (±$2,516) | $4,999 (±$81) | $2,790 (±$10) | $3,119 |
| Built before 1980 | 59.5% (±31.3 points) | 24.1% (±0.9 points) | 43.5% (±0.2 points) | 49.7% |
| Average commute | 33.3 minutes (±3.3) | 36.4 minutes (±0.4) | 27.3 minutes (±0.1) | 26.4 minutes |
| Households with broadband | 96.8% (±4.8 points) | 96.4% (±0.4 points) | 91.0% (±0.1 points) | 91.0% |
| Median age of residents | 34.6 years (±29.6) | 36.3 years (±0.1) | 39.0 years (±0.1) | 38.9 years |
Bull Run Mountain Estates covers 1.8 square miles of land, about 1,038 residents per square mile (Census Bureau Gazetteer).
How Bull Run Mountain Estates has changed since 2015–2019
| 2015–2019 | 2020–2024 | Amount of change | Verdict | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Residents | 1,314 (±414) | 1,827 (±1,129) | +39.0% | Not a measurable change |
| Housing units | 480 (±103) | 505 (±246) | +5.2% | Not a measurable change |
| Median home value | $365,200 (±$34,404) | $623,800 (±$20,036) | +70.8% | Up after inflation |
| Median owner cost with a mortgage | $2,201 (±$260) | $2,808 (±$145) | +27.6% | No measurable change after inflation |
| Median real estate taxes | $4,178 (±$423) | $4,935 (±$2,516) | +18.1% | No measurable change after inflation |
| Households that rent | 4.4% (±4.0 points) | 0.0% (±7.6 points) | −4.4 percentage points | Not a measurable change |
The Census Bureau publishes 2015–2019 dollars in 2019 dollars and 2020–2024 dollars in 2024 dollars.
Prices (the CPI-U, US Bureau of Labor Statistics) rose 22.7% between 2019 and 2024, so a dollar figure’s verdict compares the two after raising the earlier one by that much, using the Census Bureau’s test for a difference.
The two periods do not overlap, as the Census Bureau recommends for 5-year estimates.
Crime reported to police in Prince William County
Bull Run Mountain Estates has no police department of its own in the FBI’s figures, so this is the figure for Prince William County as a whole.
In 2025, the police departments that report for Prince William County recorded 212 violent and 1,280 property crimes per 100,000 residents.
A county-wide figure describes the whole county, not this place; crime varies from one community to the next.
Places near Bull Run Mountain Estates
| Place | Distance | Median gross rent | Median home value | Households that rent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middleburg | 5.8 mi | $1,517 | $777,000 | 33.4% |
| Stone Ridge | 6.1 mi | $2,746 | $672,800 | 13.0% |
| The Plains | 6.6 mi | $1,323 | $555,600 | 65.2% |
| Haymarket | 6.9 mi | $2,259 | $580,800 | 7.6% |
| Arcola | 7.5 mi | $2,577 | $637,800 | 39.3% |
| Gainesville | 8.1 mi | $2,283 | $712,600 | 16.5% |
| South Riding | 8.2 mi | $2,905 | $746,200 | 16.6% |
| Brambleton | 8.7 mi | $2,479 | $865,800 | 14.9% |
HUD Fair Market Rent for Bull Run Mountain Estates, fiscal year 2027
| Studio | 1 bedroom | 2 bedrooms | 3 bedrooms | 4 bedrooms |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2,111 | $2,204 | $2,438 | $3,107 | $3,658 |
HUD income limits for Bull Run Mountain Estates, fiscal year 2026
| Household size | Extremely low (30%) | Very low (50%) | Low (80%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 person | $34,900 | $58,150 | $74,800 |
| 2 people | $39,900 | $66,450 | $85,450 |
| 3 people | $44,900 | $74,750 | $96,150 |
| 4 people | $49,850 | $83,050 | $106,800 |
| 5 people | $53,850 | $89,700 | $115,350 |
| 6 people | $57,850 | $96,350 | $123,900 |
| 7 people | $61,850 | $103,000 | $132,450 |
| 8 people | $65,850 | $109,650 | $141,000 |
These are the limits HUD sets for its housing programs in the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD HUD Metro FMR Area, where HUD’s median family income for fiscal year 2026 is $166,100.
A program can use its own limits; tax-credit and local programs often do.
Bull Run Mountain Estates is a census-designated place: an unincorporated community the Census Bureau draws for statistics, with no municipal government of its own.
Survey years: 2020–2024 (American Community Survey 5-year estimates), compared with 2015–2019.
Margins of error are at the 90% confidence level.
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Questions about Bull Run Mountain Estates
What is the median household income in Bull Run Mountain Estates?
The median household income in Bull Run Mountain Estates is $250,000 or more a year (2020–2024 American Community Survey).
What is the average home value in Bull Run Mountain Estates, VA?
The Census Bureau publishes the median: $623,800 (±$20,036) for owner-occupied homes in Bull Run Mountain Estates (2020–2024 American Community Survey).
What is the average mortgage payment in Bull Run Mountain Estates?
The Census Bureau publishes total owner costs rather than the mortgage alone: the median for owners with a mortgage in Bull Run Mountain Estates, VA is $2,808 (±$145) a month, including taxes, insurance and utilities.
How many homes are in Bull Run Mountain Estates?
Bull Run Mountain Estates, VA has an estimated 505 (±246) housing units, occupied and vacant (2020–2024 American Community Survey).
How long is the average commute in Bull Run Mountain Estates?
Workers who live in Bull Run Mountain Estates, VA take an average of 33.3 minutes each way (2020–2024 American Community Survey).
Is Bull Run Mountain Estates growing?
In Bull Run Mountain Estates, the number of residents went from 1,314 in 2015–2019 to 1,827 in 2020–2024 (+39.0%), not a measurable change.
Sources
- Demographic and Housing Estimates (DP05), 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimates — Bull Run Mountain Estates CDP, Virginia
- Selected Housing Characteristics (DP04), 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimates — Bull Run Mountain Estates CDP, Virginia
- Selected Economic Characteristics (DP03), 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimates — Bull Run Mountain Estates CDP, Virginia
- Median Real Estate Taxes Paid by Mortgage Status (B25103), 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimates — Bull Run Mountain Estates CDP, Virginia
- Selected Social Characteristics (DP02), 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimates — Bull Run Mountain Estates CDP, Virginia
- Total Population (B01003), 2015–2019 ACS 5-year estimates — Bull Run Mountain Estates CDP, Virginia
- Median Gross Rent (B25064), 2015–2019 ACS 5-year estimates — Bull Run Mountain Estates CDP, Virginia
- HUD Fair Market Rents, fiscal year 2027: Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD HUD Metro FMR Area
- HUD Small Area Fair Market Rents, fiscal year 2027
- HUD Income Limits, fiscal year 2026: Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD HUD Metro FMR Area
- Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), US city average, all items, US Bureau of Labor Statistics: annual averages 2019 and 2024
- US Census Bureau, 2024 Gazetteer Files
To check these figures in the Census Bureau’s own API, request the variables below from the 2024 ACS 5-year data profile (acs/acs5/profile) for Bull Run Mountain Estates CDP, Virginia (place:11245, in state:51).
Each estimate (E or PE) has a margin of error beside it (M or PM).
The 2015–2019 figures are B01003_001E, B01003_001M, B25064_001E, B25064_001M from the 2019 release.
The API needs a free key.
DP05_0001E, DP05_0001M, DP04_0001E, DP04_0001M, DP04_0047PE, DP04_0047PM, DP04_0134E, DP04_0134M, DP03_0062E, DP03_0062M, DP04_0089E, DP04_0089M
This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.
Figures are published by the US Census Bureau, HUD, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the FBI; Seayora reproduces them and does not adjust them, except where a sentence says it compares dollar figures after inflation. They describe the whole place, not any one building or street, and are not an appraisal, a rent determination, a tax bill, a safety rating or legal advice.
Figures last updated on .