Is Mesa, AZ growing?

Mesa, AZ had an estimated 511,764 (±110) residents in 2020–2024, against 499,720 in 2015–2019.

That is a change of +2.4%, a measurable increase.

Its housing went from 211,423 to 222,992 homes (+5.5%), a measurable increase.

2.3% of today’s homes were built in 2020 or later.

Figures last updated on .

Residents now
511,764 (±110)
Amount of change
+2.4%
Homes change
+5.5%
Built 2020 or later
2.3%

Residents and homes in Mesa, 2015–2019 and 2020–2024

2015–2019 and 2020–2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates
2015–20192020–2024Amount of changeVerdict
Residents499,720 (±123)511,764 (±110)+2.4%Measurable increase
Housing units211,423 (±1,668)222,992 (±1,986)+5.5%Measurable increase
Households that rent38.9% (±0.6 points)35.6% (±0.8 points)−3.3 percentage pointsMeasurable decrease
Median gross rent$1,044 (±$12)$1,620 (±$25)+55.2%Up after inflation
Median home value$226,500 (±$1,748)$408,000 (±$4,349)+80.1%Up after inflation

The Census Bureau publishes 2015–2019 dollars in 2019 dollars and 2020–2024 dollars in 2024 dollars.

Prices (the CPI-U, US Bureau of Labor Statistics) rose 22.7% between 2019 and 2024, so a dollar figure’s verdict compares the two after raising the earlier one by that much, using the Census Bureau’s test for a difference.

The two periods do not overlap, as the Census Bureau recommends for 5-year estimates.

Growth in Mesa against Maricopa County, its state and the nation

Change between 2015–2019 and 2020–2024
ResidentsVerdictHousing units
Mesa+2.4%Measurable increase+5.5%
Maricopa County+5.3%Measurable increase+8.3%
Arizona+4.7%Measurable increase+6.3%
United States+3.1%Measurable increase+4.6%

A change in a place’s boundaries between the two periods (an annexation, say) changes its counts as well; the Census Bureau’s figures are for the place as it was drawn in each period.

New homes in Mesa

Housing units by year built, 2020–2024
Year builtMesaMaricopa CountyArizonaUnited States
2020 or later2.3% (±0.2 points)3.0%2.8%2.0%
2010 to 201911.0% (±0.5 points)12.4%11.6%9.4%
2000 to 200916.2% (±0.6 points)21.8%22.4%13.6%

13.3% of the homes in Mesa were built in 2010 or later.

The median age of residents is 37.4 years.

Growth in places near Mesa

Change in residents between 2015–2019 and 2020–2024
PlaceDistanceResidents nowAmount of changeVerdict
Mesa—511,764+2.4%Measurable increase
Gilbert6.4 mi280,262+15.2%Measurable increase
Apache Junction10 mi41,058+1.1%Measurable increase
Chandler11 mi280,136+10.9%Measurable increase
Tempe12 mi188,065+0.3%Measurable increase
Queen Creek13 mi71,867+66.6%Measurable increase
Fountain Hills14 mi23,789−3.8%Measurable decrease
Guadalupe14 mi5,272−18.7%Measurable decrease
Sun Lakes16 mi13,924−3.8%Not a measurable change

Survey years: 2020–2024 (American Community Survey 5-year estimates), compared with 2015–2019.

Margins of error are at the 90% confidence level.

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Questions about Mesa

Is Mesa growing?

Mesa, AZ had an estimated 511,764 residents in 2020–2024 and 499,720 in 2015–2019, a change of +2.4%: a measurable increase by the Census Bureau’s test.

How many homes have been added in Mesa?

The estimated number of housing units went from 211,423 in 2015–2019 to 222,992 in 2020–2024 (+5.5%), a measurable increase.

How much new construction is there in Mesa?

2.3% of homes in Mesa were built in 2020 or later and 11.0% between 2010 and 2019.

Sources

To check these figures in the Census Bureau’s own API, request the variables below from the 2024 ACS 5-year data profile (acs/acs5/profile) for Mesa city, Arizona (place:46000, in state:04).

Each estimate (E or PE) has a margin of error beside it (M or PM).

The 2015–2019 figures are B01003_001E, B01003_001M, B25001_001E, B25001_001M, DP04_0047PE, DP04_0047PM, B25064_001E, B25064_001M, B25077_001E, B25077_001M from the 2019 release.

The API needs a free key.

Request a Census API key.

DP05_0001E, DP05_0001M, DP04_0001E, DP04_0001M, DP04_0017PE, DP04_0017PM, DP04_0018PE, DP04_0018PM, DP05_0018E, DP05_0018M

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are published by the US Census Bureau, HUD, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the FBI; Seayora reproduces them and does not adjust them, except where a sentence says it compares dollar figures after inflation. They describe the whole place, not any one building or street, and are not an appraisal, a rent determination, a tax bill, a safety rating or legal advice.

Figures last updated on .

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