Is Gainesville, VA growing?

Name: Growth in Gainesville, VA, 2020–2024
Creator: US Census Bureau
License: https://www.census.gov/data/developers/about/terms-of-service.html

Gainesville, VA had an estimated 18,196 (±1,114) residents in 2020–2024, against 17,287 in 2015–2019.

That is a change of +5.3%, not a measurable change.

Its housing went from 5,389 to 6,035 homes (+12.0%), a measurable increase.

7.1% of today’s homes were built in 2020 or later.

Figures last updated on November 12, 2026.

Residents now: 18,196 (±1,114)
Amount of change: +5.3%
Homes change: +12.0%
Built 2020 or later: 7.1%

Residents and homes in Gainesville, 2015–2019 and 2020–2024

2015–2019 and 2020–2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates
	2015–2019	2020–2024	Amount of change	Verdict
Residents	17,287 (±879)	18,196 (±1,114)	+5.3%	Not a measurable change
Housing units	5,389 (±203)	6,035 (±255)	+12.0%	Measurable increase
Households that rent	16.6% (±2.8 points)	16.5% (±3.5 points)	−0.1 percentage points	Not a measurable change
Median gross rent	$2,059 (±$126)	$2,283 (±$214)	+10.9%	No measurable change after inflation
Median home value	$491,500 (±$18,162)	$712,600 (±$30,169)	+45.0%	Up after inflation

The Census Bureau publishes 2015–2019 dollars in 2019 dollars and 2020–2024 dollars in 2024 dollars.

Prices (the CPI-U, US Bureau of Labor Statistics) rose 22.7% between 2019 and 2024, so a dollar figure’s verdict compares the two after raising the earlier one by that much, using the Census Bureau’s test for a difference.

The two periods do not overlap, as the Census Bureau recommends for 5-year estimates.

Growth in Gainesville against Prince William County, its state and the nation

Change between 2015–2019 and 2020–2024
	Residents	Verdict	Housing units
Gainesville	+5.3%	Not a measurable change	+12.0%
Prince William County	+6.0%	Measurable increase	+8.7%
Virginia	+3.0%	Measurable increase	+4.9%
United States	+3.1%	Measurable increase	+4.6%

A change in a place’s boundaries between the two periods (an annexation, say) changes its counts as well; the Census Bureau’s figures are for the place as it was drawn in each period.

New homes in Gainesville

Housing units by year built, 2020–2024
Year built	Gainesville	Prince William County	Virginia	United States
2020 or later	7.1% (±2.5 points)	1.8%	1.7%	2.0%
2010 to 2019	32.3% (±4.1 points)	13.6%	9.9%	9.4%
2000 to 2009	41.0% (±3.4 points)	25.9%	14.9%	13.6%

39.4% of the homes in Gainesville were built in 2010 or later.

The median age of residents is 37.2 years.

Growth in places near Gainesville

Change in residents between 2015–2019 and 2020–2024
Place	Distance	Residents now	Amount of change	Verdict
Gainesville	—	18,196	+5.3%	Not a measurable change
Haymarket	1.3 mi	1,580	+1.8%	Not a measurable change
Linton Hall	4.5 mi	41,876	+1.2%	Not a measurable change
New Baltimore	5.4 mi	11,919	+14.2%	Measurable increase
Bull Run (Prince William County)	6.6 mi	16,859	+1.2%	Not a measurable change
Sudley	7.7 mi	19,162	+3.2%	Not a measurable change
Nokesville	7.8 mi	1,226	−7.8%	Not a measurable change
Bull Run Mountain Estates	8.1 mi	1,827	+39.0%	Not a measurable change
The Plains	8.6 mi	164	−19.6%	Not a measurable change

Gainesville is a census-designated place: an unincorporated community the Census Bureau draws for statistics, with no municipal government of its own.

Survey years: 2020–2024 (American Community Survey 5-year estimates), compared with 2015–2019.

Margins of error are at the 90% confidence level.

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Questions about Gainesville

Is Gainesville growing?

Gainesville, VA had an estimated 18,196 residents in 2020–2024 and 17,287 in 2015–2019, a change of +5.3%: not a measurable change by the Census Bureau’s test.

How many homes have been added in Gainesville?

The estimated number of housing units went from 5,389 in 2015–2019 to 6,035 in 2020–2024 (+12.0%), a measurable increase.

How much new construction is there in Gainesville?

7.1% of homes in Gainesville were built in 2020 or later and 32.3% between 2010 and 2019.

Sources

To check these figures in the Census Bureau’s own API, request the variables below from the 2024 ACS 5-year data profile (acs/acs5/profile) for Gainesville CDP, Virginia (place:30176, in state:51).

Each estimate (E or PE) has a margin of error beside it (M or PM).

The 2015–2019 figures are B01003_001E, B01003_001M, B25001_001E, B25001_001M, DP04_0047PE, DP04_0047PM, B25064_001E, B25064_001M, B25077_001E, B25077_001M from the 2019 release.

The API needs a free key.

Request a Census API key.

DP05_0001E, DP05_0001M, DP04_0001E, DP04_0001M, DP04_0017PE, DP04_0017PM, DP04_0018PE, DP04_0018PM, DP05_0018E, DP05_0018M

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are published by the US Census Bureau, HUD, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the FBI; Seayora reproduces them and does not adjust them, except where a sentence says it compares dollar figures after inflation. They describe the whole place, not any one building or street, and are not an appraisal, a rent determination, a tax bill, a safety rating or legal advice.